Why next-generation vaccines are a critical part of the solutionĮvery expert I spoke to mentioned next-generation vaccines as a key intervention for reducing Covid-19’s impact going forward. Two big areas stood out: Next-generation vaccines and air filtration. Our goal: understand how they’re thinking about the extraordinarily complex question of what our next big pandemic investment should be. I asked six experts - among them academics and practitioners in public health and health policy, economics, security, and ethics - what’s worth investing in at this point in the pandemic. But models can’t account for the “unknown unknowns” of the pandemic - the new variants, new beliefs, and logistical challenges that determine what the public will accept and, in the end, what actually works. Models have attempted to predict how effectively certain policies and programs save lives and prevent bad medical outcomes. The “what’s worth it now” question is difficult to answer, in part because neither the costs nor the benefits of each tool are easily quantifiable.
Of the $4.5 trillion the US Congress has allotted to fight Covid-19, agencies have paid out $3.9 trillion - and there’s little enthusiasm among legislators to spend more. Importantly, the trillions of dollars in federal funds committed to pandemic response have largely been spent.
There are effective Covid-19 vaccines and treatments, and the American appetite for pandemic precaution has withered. Today, at least 95 percent of Americans have some immunity to the virus. Investments today likely face diminishing returns. Add in air tank covers, camera mounts, replacement gas cylinders, and paintball pellets, and you've got everything needed to take control of your next battle.Two and a half years later, it’s hard not to wonder: At this point in the pandemic, how great are the returns on any of the Covid-19 investments American society could make? Which of our pandemic tools are most valuable now? And keep masks in peak condition with straps that can be adjusted to suit everyone's head shape.
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